Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Urbina vs Kailan Hill

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record4-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+23→ 1584
If they lose-25→ 1536
Kailan HillNow 1551
If they win+25→ 1576
If they lose-23→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
38%
Strike accuracy
53%
6.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.80
51%
Strike defense
38%
0
Takedown avg.
3
0%
Takedown accuracy
43%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elias UrbinaKailan Hill
15501600201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elias Urbina and Kailan Hill within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1551), separated by just 10 points.

Kailan Hill enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kailan Hill 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.