Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Urbina vs Kalib Starnes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record17-11-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamAegis Athletics

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Kalib StarnesNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
38%
Strike accuracy
49%
6.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
51%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
1.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.59

Trajectory

Elias UrbinaKalib Starnes
1550160020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
2 (40%)
Submission
10 (59%)
1 (20%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Urbina59%
Kalib Starnes 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Urbina a 59% favorite over Kalib Starnes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kalib Starnes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kalib Starnes 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.