Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Urbina vs Lucio Linhares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record19-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'2"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Lucio LinharesNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
0.99
38%
Strike accuracy
23%
6.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
51%
Strike defense
35%
0
Takedown avg.
1.86
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.86

Trajectory

Elias UrbinaLucio Linhares
1500155020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
2 (40%)
Submission
8 (42%)
1 (20%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucio Linhares54%
Elias Urbina 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucio Linhares a 54% favorite over Elias Urbina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Urbina's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1555), separated by just 6 points.

Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Lucio Linhares 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.