Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Urbina vs Ryan Janes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'3"
TBDReach76.50
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Ryan JanesNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
7.69
38%
Strike accuracy
48%
6.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.53
51%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0.35
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elias UrbinaRyan Janes
1500155020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (40%)
Submission
6 (60%)
1 (20%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elias Urbina and Ryan Janes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1559), separated by just 2 points.

Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Janes 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.