Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Urbina vs Scott Ventimiglia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record14-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamWar Room MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Scott VentimigliaNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elias UrbinaScott Ventimiglia
1550201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
2 (40%)
Submission
12 (86%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Urbina53%
Scott Ventimiglia 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Urbina a 53% favorite over Scott Ventimiglia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Ventimiglia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Scott Ventimiglia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Scott Ventimiglia 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.