Elias Urbina vs Stoney Hale
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record5-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight184 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Oxendine
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias UrbinaStoney Hale
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stoney Hale53%
Elias Urbina 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stoney Hale a 53% favorite over Elias Urbina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Urbina's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1561), separated by just 0 points.
Stoney Hale enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Stoney Hale 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.