Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Urbina vs Xavier Foupa-Pokam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record32-22-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamSnake Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Xavier Foupa-PokamNow 1554
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
1.47
38%
Strike accuracy
43%
6.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
51%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
17%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elias UrbinaXavier Foupa-Pokam
155020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
19 (59%)
2 (40%)
Submission
8 (25%)
1 (20%)
Decision
5 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Urbina60%
Xavier Foupa-Pokam 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Urbina a 60% favorite over Xavier Foupa-Pokam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1554), separated by just 7 points.

Elias Urbina finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Xavier Foupa-Pokam 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.