Elves Brener vs Mark Madsen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRumble Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elves BrenerMark Madsen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elves Brener67%
Mark Madsen 33%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 67% favorite over Mark Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Madsen's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1696), separated by just 4 points.
Mark Madsen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mark Madsen 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.