Combat Edge Intelligence

Elves Brener vs Quinn Mulhern

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record18-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'3"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Quinn MulhernNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.99
Sig. strikes / min
1.38
48%
Strike accuracy
22%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
48%
Strike defense
52%
1.23
Takedown avg.
0
24%
Takedown accuracy
0%
76%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elves BrenerQuinn Mulhern
1650170020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
11 (69%)
Submission
11 (61%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Elves Brener68%
Quinn Mulhern 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 68% favorite over Quinn Mulhern in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Quinn Mulhern's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1693), separated by just 1 points.

Quinn Mulhern enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Quinn Mulhern 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.