Combat Edge Intelligence

Eoin Sheridan vs Lance Benoist

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record7-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'11"
81"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamSt. Charles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eoin SheridanNow 1621
If they win+24→ 1645
If they lose-24→ 1597
Lance BenoistNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eoin SheridanLance Benoist
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
1 (20%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (40%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Eoin Sheridan60%
Lance Benoist 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eoin Sheridan a 60% favorite over Lance Benoist in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lance Benoist's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1622), separated by just 1 points.

Eoin Sheridan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Eoin Sheridan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Lance Benoist 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.