Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Nolan vs Máté Kertész

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537Average
Máté Kertész
hu

Máté Kertész

“The Cold Blooded”

15-11-0WelterweightOKMMA

1539Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record15-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach-
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamBSK Crossfight

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Máté KertészNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eric NolanMáté Kertész
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (25%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eric Nolan and Máté Kertész within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1539), separated by just 2 points.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Máté Kertész enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Máté Kertész 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.