Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Nolan vs Renato Verissimo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Lionheart Mixed Martial ArtsTeamBJ Penn's MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Renato VerissimoNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
0.92
39%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.87
42%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
1.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
2.55

Trajectory

Eric NolanRenato Verissimo
1500155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Nolan60%
Renato Verissimo 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 60% favorite over Renato Verissimo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Verissimo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1541), separated by just 4 points.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eric Nolan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Renato Verissimo 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.