Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Schafer vs Jackson McVey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-2Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Red Schafer MMATeamSt. Charles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eric SchaferNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Jackson McVeyNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
6.51
34%
Strike accuracy
69%
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.37
57%
Strike defense
24%
1.81
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
1.81
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Eric SchaferJackson McVey
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
8 (62%)
Submission
4 (57%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey70%
Eric Schafer 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 70% favorite over Eric Schafer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eric Schafer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1620), separated by just 3 points.

Eric Schafer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.