Combat Edge Intelligence

Evangelista Santos vs Gilbert Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-18-0Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Team CyborgTeamBMF Ranch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evangelista SantosNow 1570
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
Gilbert UrbinaNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.62
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Evangelista SantosGilbert Urbina
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
4 (19%)
Submission
2 (29%)
3 (14%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina66%
Evangelista Santos 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 66% favorite over Evangelista Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1572), separated by just 2 points.

Evangelista Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gilbert Urbina enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Evangelista Santos finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Urbina 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.