Felice Herrig vs Jessica Penne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record14-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
65"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team CurranTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felice HerrigJessica Penne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felice Herrig66%
Jessica Penne 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Felice Herrig a 66% favorite over Jessica Penne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1548), separated by just 8 points.
Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Felice Herrig finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Jessica Penne 71%.
Felice Herrig and Jessica Penne share 1 common opponent: Karolina Kowalkiewicz.
Jessica Penne carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.