Combat Edge Intelligence

Francis Carmont vs Yousri Belgaroui

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record10-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'5"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight190 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francis CarmontNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Yousri BelgarouiNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.22
Sig. strikes / min
5.82
42%
Strike accuracy
66%
1.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.52
59%
Strike defense
61%
1.79
Takedown avg.
0.39
37%
Takedown accuracy
100%
73%
Takedown defense
68%
0.60
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francis CarmontYousri Belgaroui
1550160016501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
11 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (32%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Yousri Belgaroui70%
Francis Carmont 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yousri Belgaroui a 70% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Yousri Belgaroui enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Francis Carmont finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.