Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Shamrock vs Marco Tulio Silva Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-10-2Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The AllianceTeamTeam Paraiba

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frank ShamrockNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664
Marco Tulio Silva CostaNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.75
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
53%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
58%
Strike defense
58%
0.35
Takedown avg.
1.33
50%
Takedown accuracy
20%
38%
Takedown defense
0%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Frank ShamrockMarco Tulio Silva Costa
165017002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
12 (57%)
Submission
1 (9%)
5 (24%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio Silva Costa67%
Frank Shamrock 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio Silva Costa a 67% favorite over Frank Shamrock in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Shamrock's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1676), separated by just 0 points.

Frank Shamrock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Frank Shamrock finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio Silva Costa 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.