Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Saenz vs Jay Perrin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jay Perrin
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Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record13-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frankie SaenzNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Jay PerrinNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
47%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
52%
Strike defense
45%
1.74
Takedown avg.
2.83
32%
Takedown accuracy
53%
62%
Takedown defense
59%
0.12
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Frankie SaenzJay Perrin
1550160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (31%)
7 (58%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Jay Perrin53%
Frankie Saenz 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jay Perrin a 53% favorite over Frankie Saenz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Frankie Saenz finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Jay Perrin 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.