Combat Edge Intelligence

Fredy Serrano vs Roybert Echeverria

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'5"
65,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA ColombiaTeamThe Goat Shed Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fredy SerranoNow 1581
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557
Roybert EcheverriaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.58
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
27%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.52
62%
Strike defense
57%
2.84
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
85%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
2.60

Trajectory

Fredy SerranoRoybert Echeverria
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Roybert Echeverria62%
Fredy Serrano 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Roybert Echeverria a 62% favorite over Fredy Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1588), separated by just 7 points.

Roybert Echeverria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fredy Serrano finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roybert Echeverria 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.