Combat Edge Intelligence

Gaston Bolaños vs Kron Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record5-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
CSATeamKron Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gaston BolañosNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Kron GracieNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.28
Sig. strikes / min
3.74
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.82
51%
Strike defense
53%
0.66
Takedown avg.
0.47
100%
Takedown accuracy
25%
43%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Gaston BolañosKron Gracie
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (100%)
3 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gaston Bolaños71%
Kron Gracie 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gaston Bolaños a 71% favorite over Kron Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1591), separated by just 5 points.

Kron Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gaston Bolaños finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kron Gracie 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.