Combat Edge Intelligence

Ger Harris vs Jerome Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ger Harris
ie

Ger Harris

“The GTA Selector”

7-4-0FlyweightCWFC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record10-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'10"
TBDReach41,0"
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamDestroya MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ger HarrisNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Jerome RiveraNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.60
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ger HarrisJerome Rivera
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Submission
7 (70%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Ger Harris60%
Jerome Rivera 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ger Harris a 60% favorite over Jerome Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jerome Rivera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.

Jerome Rivera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ger Harris finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jerome Rivera 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.