Combat Edge Intelligence

Ger Harris vs Rafael Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ger Harris
ie

Ger Harris

“The GTA Selector”

7-4-0FlyweightCWFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record20-9-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamSD Training System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ger HarrisNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Rafael DiasNow 1546
If they win+12→ 1558
If they lose-12→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ger HarrisRafael Dias
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
4 (57%)
Submission
4 (20%)
2 (29%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Ger Harris61%
Rafael Dias 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ger Harris a 61% favorite over Rafael Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1546), separated by just 10 points.

Ger Harris finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Dias 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.