Combat Edge Intelligence

Giacomo Lemos vs Lazar Todev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lazar Todev
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Lazar Todev

“The Punisher”

14-7-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1664Good

Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record14-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
247 lbsWeight241 lbs
RFATeamTiger Sportakademie

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Giacomo LemosNow 1663
If they win+24→ 1687
If they lose-24→ 1639
Lazar TodevNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Giacomo LemosLazar Todev
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Lazar Todev60%
Giacomo Lemos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lazar Todev a 60% favorite over Giacomo Lemos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Giacomo Lemos enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Giacomo Lemos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lazar Todev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.