Giacomo Lemos vs Renan Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'8"
TBDReach85"
247 lbsWeight264 lbs
RFATeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1687
If they lose-24→ 1639
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Giacomo LemosRenan Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Ferreira57%
Giacomo Lemos 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 57% favorite over Giacomo Lemos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1666), separated by just 3 points.
Giacomo Lemos enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Giacomo Lemos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.