Combat Edge Intelligence

Giannis Bachar vs Mark Vologdin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record12-4-2
MiddleweightDivisionBantamweight
6'1"Height5'5"
72"Reach65"
176 lbsWeight135 lbs
EFL AcademyTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Giannis BacharNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Mark VologdinNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Giannis BacharMark Vologdin
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (11%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Vologdin60%
Giannis Bachar 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Vologdin a 60% favorite over Giannis Bachar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Giannis Bachar's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1635), separated by just 6 points.

Giannis Bachar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Giannis Bachar finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mark Vologdin 83%.

Giannis Bachar carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.