Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Melendez vs Murtazali Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-8-0Record11-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
73,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Skrap PackTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gilbert MelendezNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Murtazali MagomedovNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
33%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.86
63%
Strike defense
84%
1.64
Takedown avg.
0
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gilbert MelendezMurtazali Magomedov
1650170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (55%)
10 (45%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Murtazali Magomedov71%
Gilbert Melendez 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Murtazali Magomedov a 71% favorite over Gilbert Melendez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Melendez's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1734), separated by just 6 points.

Gilbert Melendez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Murtazali Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Gilbert Melendez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Murtazali Magomedov 100%.

Gilbert Melendez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.