Gilbert Melendez vs Youssef Zalal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-8-0Record18-6-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Skrap PackTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
If they win+12→ 1747
If they lose-12→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert MelendezYoussef Zalal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Youssef Zalal66%
Gilbert Melendez 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Youssef Zalal a 66% favorite over Gilbert Melendez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Melendez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1735), separated by just 5 points.
Gilbert Melendez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Melendez finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Zalal 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.