Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Urbina vs Kiefer Crosbie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BMF RanchTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gilbert UrbinaNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
57%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
45%
Strike defense
51%
2.86
Takedown avg.
0.69
44%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0.71
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Gilbert UrbinaKiefer Crosbie
1550160020242025

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (20%)
3 (43%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina63%
Kiefer Crosbie 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 63% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1567), separated by just 5 points.

Gilbert Urbina enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gilbert Urbina finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.

Gilbert Urbina carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.