Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilbert Urbina vs Roman Mitichyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
BMF RanchTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gilbert UrbinaNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Roman MitichyanNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
0.26
57%
Strike accuracy
17%
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
45%
Strike defense
43%
2.86
Takedown avg.
1.93
44%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
25%
0.71
Submission avg.
1.93

Trajectory

Gilbert UrbinaRoman Mitichyan
155016002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
2 (29%)
Submission
5 (63%)
3 (43%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina52%
Roman Mitichyan 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 52% favorite over Roman Mitichyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1570), separated by just 2 points.

Gilbert Urbina enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roman Mitichyan enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gilbert Urbina finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Roman Mitichyan 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.