Greg Hardy vs Louie Sutherland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
80"Reach76"
266 lbsWeight266 lbs
Skills Sport & FitnessTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Greg HardyLouie Sutherland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louie Sutherland63%
Greg Hardy 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 63% favorite over Greg Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Greg Hardy finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.
Greg Hardy and Louie Sutherland share 1 common opponent: Tai Tuivasa.
Greg Hardy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.