Guan Wang vs Luke Riley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Luke Riley
Elo1754GreatTale of the tape
22-1-1Record14-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
42,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1729
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Guan WangLuke Riley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Riley79%
Guan Wang 21%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Riley a 79% favorite over Guan Wang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1754), separated by just 9 points.
Guan Wang enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Luke Riley enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Guan Wang finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Luke Riley 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.