Guilherme Pat vs Heath Herring
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record28-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
80"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
Lotus ClubTeamLas Vegas Combat Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Guilherme PatHeath Herring
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Guilherme Pat70%
Heath Herring 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Pat a 70% favorite over Heath Herring in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Heath Herring's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1622), separated by just 4 points.
Heath Herring enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Guilherme Pat finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Heath Herring 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.