Combat Edge Intelligence

Guilherme Pat vs Jeff Monson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Monson
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Jeff Monson

“The Snowman”

60-26-1HeavyweightDMMA

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record60-26-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height5'9"
80"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight238 lbs
Lotus ClubTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Guilherme PatNow 1618
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
Jeff MonsonNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.27
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
64%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
62%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
1.39
TBD
Takedown accuracy
16%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Guilherme PatJeff Monson
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
36 (61%)
2 (33%)
Decision
18 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Guilherme Pat72%
Jeff Monson 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Guilherme Pat a 72% favorite over Jeff Monson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.

Guilherme Pat finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Monson 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.