Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Lopez vs Ronnie Lawrence

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-1Record8-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
67"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMMA Science Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo LopezNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Ronnie LawrenceNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
56%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.75
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
6.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
77%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Gustavo LopezRonnie Lawrence
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronnie Lawrence70%
Gustavo Lopez 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronnie Lawrence a 70% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ronnie Lawrence 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.