Hailey Cowan vs Lucrezia Ria
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
138 lbsWeight135 lbs
Blitz SportTeamShoot Team Modena
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1564
If they lose-15→ 1532
If they win+15→ 1576
If they lose-17→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hailey CowanLucrezia Ria
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucrezia Ria60%
Hailey Cowan 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucrezia Ria a 60% favorite over Hailey Cowan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1561), separated by just 14 points.
Hailey Cowan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Lucrezia Ria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hailey Cowan finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Lucrezia Ria 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.