Combat Edge Intelligence

Herbert Burns vs John Teixeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record27-9-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
73"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herbert BurnsNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
John TeixeiraNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
37%
Strike accuracy
35%
5.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
42%
Strike defense
63%
2.94
Takedown avg.
1
35%
Takedown accuracy
27%
67%
Takedown defense
71%
1.84
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Herbert BurnsJohn Teixeira
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
8 (30%)
8 (73%)
Submission
10 (37%)
2 (18%)
Decision
9 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Herbert Burns and John Teixeira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1610), separated by just 3 points.

Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

John Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Herbert Burns finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, John Teixeira 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.