Combat Edge Intelligence

Herbert Burns vs Mehdi Saadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight140 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herbert BurnsNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Mehdi SaadiNow 1608
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.86
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
2.94
Takedown avg.
TBD
35%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.84
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Herbert BurnsMehdi Saadi
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
8 (73%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (18%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Mehdi Saadi63%
Herbert Burns 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Saadi a 63% favorite over Herbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Herbert Burns finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Saadi 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.