Combat Edge Intelligence

Herdem Alacabek vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black HouseTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herdem AlacabekNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Tyson PedroNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
66%
Strike accuracy
59%
6.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
23%
Strike defense
56%
2.06
Takedown avg.
0.76
50%
Takedown accuracy
15%
43%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Herdem AlacabekTyson Pedro
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (40%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Herdem Alacabek54%
Tyson Pedro 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Herdem Alacabek a 54% favorite over Tyson Pedro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Herdem Alacabek finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.