Holly Holm vs Mayra Bueno Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record10-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Holly Holm is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mayra Bueno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1650
If they lose-17→ 1618
If they win+17→ 1621
If they lose-15→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmMayra Bueno Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mayra Bueno Silva62%
Holly Holm 38%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Mayra Bueno Silva a 62% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Holly Holm's way (46%).
Holly Holm holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1604, a 31-point edge.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mayra Bueno Silva 80%.
Holly Holm and Mayra Bueno Silva share 1 common opponent: Raquel Pennington.
Holly Holm carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.