Combat Edge Intelligence

Ibo Aslan vs Magomed Tuchalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ibo Aslan
tr

Ibo Aslan

“The Last Ottoman”

14-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record6-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
77"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamDagestan Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ibo AslanNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Magomed TuchalovNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.09
Sig. strikes / min
0
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
87%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ibo AslanMagomed Tuchalov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Tuchalov56%
Ibo Aslan 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Tuchalov a 56% favorite over Ibo Aslan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ibo Aslan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.

Ibo Aslan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Magomed Tuchalov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ibo Aslan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Tuchalov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.