Combat Edge Intelligence

Ieuan Mackenzie vs Shinobu Ota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record8-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-Reach64"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Craig Ewers AcademyTeamThe Blackbelt Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ieuan MackenzieNow 1574
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Shinobu OtaNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ieuan MackenzieShinobu Ota
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (67%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ieuan Mackenzie and Shinobu Ota within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1568), separated by just 6 points.

Ieuan Mackenzie finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shinobu Ota 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.