Combat Edge Intelligence

Imamshafi Aliev vs Lucas Fernando

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"HeightTBD
72.5"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamRizzo RVT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Imamshafi AlievNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Lucas FernandoNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
TBD
Strike defense
39%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Imamshafi AlievLucas Fernando
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Imamshafi Aliev and Lucas Fernando within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Imamshafi Aliev finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Fernando 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.