Ion Cutelaba vs Kazuhiro Nakamura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record21-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Timoshkov Sport ClubTeamYoshida Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaKazuhiro Nakamura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ion Cutelaba70%
Kazuhiro Nakamura 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ion Cutelaba a 70% favorite over Kazuhiro Nakamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1635), separated by just 6 points.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Kazuhiro Nakamura 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.