Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Dulgarian vs Justin Gonzales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Factory XTeamTop Notch MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac DulgarianNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608
Justin GonzalesNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.37
Sig. strikes / min
6.67
64%
Strike accuracy
80%
1.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.87
41%
Strike defense
43%
5.15
Takedown avg.
14
53%
Takedown accuracy
74%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
2.06
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Isaac DulgarianJustin Gonzales
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Dulgarian66%
Justin Gonzales 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Dulgarian a 66% favorite over Justin Gonzales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.

Justin Gonzales enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Isaac Dulgarian finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Gonzales 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.