Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Dulgarian vs Richie Smullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record15-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
71"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Factory XTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac DulgarianNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608
Richie SmullenNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.37
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
64%
Strike accuracy
78%
1.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
41%
Strike defense
65%
5.15
Takedown avg.
8.49
53%
Takedown accuracy
67%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
2.06
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Isaac DulgarianRichie Smullen
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
3 (43%)
Submission
6 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Isaac Dulgarian and Richie Smullen within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1635), separated by just 3 points.

Richie Smullen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Isaac Dulgarian finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Richie Smullen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.