Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Cartwright vs Long Xiao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record27-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach70"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team ColosseumTeamXin-Du Martial Arts Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack CartwrightNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Long XiaoNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
39%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.20
30%
Strike defense
50%
6
Takedown avg.
0.69
67%
Takedown accuracy
25%
0%
Takedown defense
80%
2
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jack CartwrightLong Xiao
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
6 (60%)
Submission
9 (33%)
1 (10%)
Decision
13 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Long Xiao51%
Jack Cartwright 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 51% favorite over Jack Cartwright in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.

Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Cartwright finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.