Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Jenkins vs Mads Burnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Absolute Mixed Martial ArtsTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack JenkinsNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
61%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
59%
Strike defense
51%
1.78
Takedown avg.
3.45
64%
Takedown accuracy
47%
68%
Takedown defense
22%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Jack JenkinsMads Burnell
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
3 (21%)
Submission
9 (47%)
5 (36%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Jenkins60%
Mads Burnell 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Jenkins a 60% favorite over Mads Burnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1667), separated by just 3 points.

Jack Jenkins finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.