Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Marshman vs Jackson McVey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-10-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tillery Combat MMA AcademyTeamSt. Charles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack MarshmanNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Jackson McVeyNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
6.51
26%
Strike accuracy
69%
4.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.37
57%
Strike defense
24%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
20%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Jack MarshmanJackson McVey
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
5 (22%)
Submission
4 (57%)
5 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey70%
Jack Marshman 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 70% favorite over Jack Marshman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jack Marshman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.

Jack Marshman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Marshman finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.