Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackson McVey vs John Clarke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Clarke
us

John Clarke

“Red Velvet”

8-2-0MiddleweightCFX

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach73,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamWai Kru MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jackson McVeyNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
John ClarkeNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.51
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
69%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
24%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
0.64
0%
Takedown accuracy
15%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
1.20
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Jackson McVeyJohn Clarke
1600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (57%)
Submission
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey66%
John Clarke 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 66% favorite over John Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1618), separated by just 2 points.

John Clarke enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, John Clarke 88%.

Jackson McVey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.