Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackson McVey vs John Phillips

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Phillips

John Phillips

“The Welsh Wrecking Machine”

22-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record22-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
77"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jackson McVeyNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
John PhillipsNow 1623
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
69%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.03
24%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
8%
1.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jackson McVeyJohn Phillips
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
20 (91%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey70%
John Phillips 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 70% favorite over John Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Phillips's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1623), separated by just 3 points.

John Phillips enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, John Phillips 100%.

Jackson McVey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.